The latest progress of stamp duty in Hong Kong has come!Federal Reserve's December OutlookThe latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.
So will heavyweights and large-cap stocks exert their strength? Looking at the trend of SSE 50, it is still very possible, because at present, the monthly trend of SSE 50 index is intact, and the index remains above the offensive line and above the long-term trend line. At present, it has the foundation to start a big market. Looking back, the index must remain above the monthly offensive line in all big markets, so this is a prerequisite. Since it is also available now, we can certainly expect something.21st century business herald reporter learned exclusively from insiders that this week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time may be December 12th". It is reported that the investable products included in personal pension may include over-the-counter products tracking nearly 20 broad-based indexes such as Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI 800 Index, GEM Index and Kechuang 50 Index.This afternoon, the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region welcomed the passage of the Stamp Duty Legislation (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill 2024 by the Legislative Council, which exempted the transfer of shares or units of real estate investment trusts and the securities distribution business of option makers, and revised the stamp duty collection arrangements under the paperless securities market system in Hong Kong.
This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.Shanghai stock exchange recently releasedIf we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.